About a week before Hurricane Sandy made landfall the two leading forecast models flatly disagreed the American one carried the storm safely out into the Atlantic the European one turned it hard left into New Jersey. The European model wasn't running a better simulation it was running an ensemble. Hundreds of thousands of people were evacuated on the strength of the spread in forecast distribution days before any single forecast could have justified moving them and on October 29th 2012 Sandy came ashore almost exactly where the models had put it. At Mercury we're building the future of financial infrastructure for startups and growing businesses. We're extending credit to those businesses and we're doing it with proprietary access to some … Sign In to View